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Cup · Russia
FC Krasnodar vs Fakel prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Krasnodar host Fakel in the Cup (Russia) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Krasnodar Win — FC Krasnodar to win. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Krasnodar 0–2 Fakel.
Going into the match, FC Krasnodar had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Fakel had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Krasnodar's last 10 and 4 of Fakel's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Krasnodar averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Fakel averaged 1.10 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from FC Krasnodar and 0.84 from Fakel. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 69%, 19% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Krasnodar (green) and Fakel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | LDDDD | 1.20 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| Fakel | LWLDL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Sep 2026 · Fakel 1–1 FC Krasnodar
- 2 Aug 2026 · FC Krasnodar 3–2 Fakel
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| FC Krasnodar Win | 68% | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.81 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.