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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
FC Koln W vs SC Freiburg W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Koln W host SC Freiburg W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Koln W 0–1 SC Freiburg W.
Going into the match, FC Koln W had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 15. SC Freiburg W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Koln W's last 10 and 8 of SC Freiburg W's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Koln W averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home SC Freiburg W averaged 1.83 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from FC Koln W and 1.00 from SC Freiburg W. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 20%, against 54%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Koln W (green) and SC Freiburg W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Koln W | WLWWW | 2.20 | 1.50 | 40% | 80% |
| SC Freiburg W | WLWLW | 1.80 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| FC Koln W Win | 54% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.