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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
FC Koln W vs Hamburger SV W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Koln W host Hamburger SV W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Koln W 3–1 Hamburger SV W.
Going into the match, FC Koln W had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Hamburger SV W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of FC Koln W's last 10 and 7 of Hamburger SV W's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Koln W averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Hamburger SV W averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from FC Koln W and 1.18 from Hamburger SV W. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Koln W (green) and Hamburger SV W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Koln W | LWLWW | 2.00 | 1.00 | 30% | 70% |
| Hamburger SV W | LWWLD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · FC Koln W 2–1 Hamburger SV W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| FC Koln W Win | 62% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.