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Liga Alef · Israel
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Jerusalem host Maccabi Kiryat Malachi in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Jerusalem 0–1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
Going into the match, FC Jerusalem had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, with 11 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Jerusalem's last 5 and 3 of Maccabi Kiryat Malachi's last 5; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Jerusalem averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Maccabi Kiryat Malachi averaged 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from FC Jerusalem and 1.91 from Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 56%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Jerusalem (green) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | WDWDW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 80% | 40% |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | DWWWD | 2.20 | 0.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| FC Jerusalem HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.