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3. Liga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Ingolstadt 04 host SV Wehen in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Ingolstadt 04 2–4 SV Wehen.
Going into the match, FC Ingolstadt 04 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 19. SV Wehen had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Ingolstadt 04's last 10 and 4 of SV Wehen's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Ingolstadt 04 averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home SV Wehen averaged 1.00 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.02 from SV Wehen. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Ingolstadt 04 (green) and SV Wehen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | LLLWL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
| SV Wehen | LLWLD | 0.60 | 2.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.