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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Iberia 1999 host Dinamo Tbilisi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1–2 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Going into the match, FC Iberia 1999 had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Dinamo Tbilisi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Iberia 1999's last 10 and 5 of Dinamo Tbilisi's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Iberia 1999 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.85 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from FC Iberia 1999 and 1.40 from Dinamo Tbilisi. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 39%, against 39%, 29% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Iberia 1999 (green) and Dinamo Tbilisi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Iberia 1999 | WWWLW | 1.10 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | WWDDW | 1.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo Tbilisi
- 16 May 2026 · Dinamo Tbilisi 2–0 FC Iberia 1999
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| FC Iberia 1999 Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.