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3. Division · Denmark
FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Helsingor host ASA Aarhus in the 3. Division (Denmark) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Helsingor 2–1 ASA Aarhus.
Going into the match, FC Helsingor had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. ASA Aarhus had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of FC Helsingor's last 10 and 5 of ASA Aarhus's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Helsingor averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home ASA Aarhus averaged 0.67 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from FC Helsingor and 1.05 from ASA Aarhus. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Helsingor (green) and ASA Aarhus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Helsingor | LWDWL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| ASA Aarhus | LWLWL | 1.30 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| FC Helsingor Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| FC Helsingor HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.