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J3 League · Japan
FC Gifu vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Gifu host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Gifu 0–2 Renofa Yamaguchi.
Going into the match, FC Gifu had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Renofa Yamaguchi had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Gifu's last 10 and 4 of Renofa Yamaguchi's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Gifu averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Renofa Yamaguchi averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from FC Gifu and 1.10 from Renofa Yamaguchi. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 37%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Gifu (green) and Renofa Yamaguchi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gifu | LWLLL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | DWWWL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| FC Gifu Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| 1-0 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.