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1. Division · Denmark
FC Fredericia vs Hobro prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Fredericia host Hobro in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Fredericia Win — FC Fredericia to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Fredericia 3–0 Hobro.
Going into the match, FC Fredericia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Hobro had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Fredericia's last 10 and 7 of Hobro's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Fredericia averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hobro averaged 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from FC Fredericia and 0.78 from Hobro. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 12%, against 67%, 21% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Fredericia (green) and Hobro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Fredericia | WDDWL | 1.70 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Hobro | DLDLL | 1.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| FC Fredericia Win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| FC Fredericia HT & FT | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Aalborg vs Vejle · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–1