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1. Division · Denmark

FC Fredericia vs Hobro prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

FC Fredericia WinOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Fredericia host Hobro in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Fredericia Win — FC Fredericia to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FC Fredericia 3–0 Hobro.

Going into the match, FC Fredericia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Hobro had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of FC Fredericia's last 10 and 7 of Hobro's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Fredericia averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hobro averaged 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from FC Fredericia and 0.78 from Hobro. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 12%, against 67%, 21% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Fredericia (green) and Hobro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%
Attack55% – 45%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals69% – 31%
Overall strength71% – 28%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
FC FredericiaWDDWL1.700.7040%50%
HobroDLDLL1.201.9070%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
FC Fredericia Win68%1.40
Over 2.5 Goals62%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals59%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
BTTS Yes54%1.73
FC Fredericia HT & FT48%2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other 1. Division matches that day