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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Eindhoven host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Eindhoven 2–2 De Graafschap.
Going into the match, FC Eindhoven had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. De Graafschap had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Eindhoven's last 10 and 8 of De Graafschap's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Eindhoven averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home De Graafschap averaged 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from FC Eindhoven and 1.46 from De Graafschap. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 26%, against 33%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Eindhoven (green) and De Graafschap (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | LWWDL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 60% | 70% |
| De Graafschap | WLWLL | 1.40 | 2.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.