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Premier League · Belarus
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Spartak Stadium, Mahilyow
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Dnepr Mogilev host FC Gomel in the Premier League (Belarus) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Dnepr Mogilev had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. FC Gomel had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 10 and 5 of FC Gomel's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Gomel averaged 1.27 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from FC Dnepr Mogilev and 1.45 from FC Gomel. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 48%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | DWLLD | 0.90 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| FC Gomel | LDLWW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Jun 2026 · FC Gomel 2–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.99 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 2.03 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Dinamo Brest vs FC Vitebsk · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: FC Vitebsk +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.34 - Baranovichi vs Naftan · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2