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Premier League · Belarus
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Dnepr Mogilev host Dinamo Minsk in the Premier League (Belarus) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dinamo Minsk Win — Dinamo Minsk to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Dnepr Mogilev 2–3 Dinamo Minsk.
Going into the match, FC Dnepr Mogilev had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Dinamo Minsk had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 10 and 1 of Dinamo Minsk's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dinamo Minsk averaged 1.57 scored and 0.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.71 goals from FC Dnepr Mogilev and 1.80 from Dinamo Minsk. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 63%, against 13%, 23% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Dnepr Mogilev (green) and Dinamo Minsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | LDLDD | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Dinamo Minsk | WLDWL | 1.10 | 0.60 | 10% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Dinamo Minsk 3–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Dinamo Minsk Win | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.93 |
| Dinamo Minsk HT & FT | 46% | 2.05 |
| 0-1 | 17% | 5.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.