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National Division · Luxembourg
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Differdange 03 host Résidence Walferdange in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Differdange 03 6–0 Résidence Walferdange.
Going into the match, FC Differdange 03 had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 9. Résidence Walferdange had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Differdange 03's last 10 and 6 of Résidence Walferdange's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Differdange 03 averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Résidence Walferdange averaged 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.11 goals from FC Differdange 03 and 0.98 from Résidence Walferdange. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 8%, against 76%, 14% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Differdange 03 (green) and Résidence Walferdange (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | WWWWW | 2.50 | 0.90 | 50% | 70% |
| Résidence Walferdange | DWWLW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| FC Differdange 03 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| FC Differdange 03 HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.79 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.