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Superliga · Denmark
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Copenhagen host Aarhus in the Superliga (Denmark) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus.
Going into the match, FC Copenhagen had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 6. Aarhus had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of FC Copenhagen's last 10 and 6 of Aarhus's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Copenhagen averaged 2.93 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Aarhus averaged 1.50 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from FC Copenhagen and 1.04 from Aarhus. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Copenhagen (green) and Aarhus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | WLLWW | 2.40 | 0.60 | 30% | 60% |
| Aarhus | LWWDW | 1.70 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| FC Copenhagen Win | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Superliga matches that day
- Odense vs Brondby · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Superliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Superliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–3 - Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Superliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50