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Major League Soccer · USA
FC Cincinnati vs DC United prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Cincinnati host DC United in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United.
Going into the match, FC Cincinnati had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 25. DC United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Cincinnati's last 10 and 6 of DC United's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Cincinnati averaged 2.60 goals scored and 1.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home DC United averaged 1.36 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from FC Cincinnati and 1.61 from DC United. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 24%, against 57%, 21% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Cincinnati (green) and DC United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | LLWLD | 1.40 | 2.50 | 70% | 80% |
| DC United | LWLLD | 1.00 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.40 |
| FC Cincinnati Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| FC Cincinnati HT & FT | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.