FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 68%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Botosani host Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I (Romania) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, FC Botosani had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Petrolul Ploiesti had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of FC Botosani's last 10 and 5 of Petrolul Ploiesti's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Botosani averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Petrolul Ploiesti averaged 1.50 scored and 1.81 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from FC Botosani and 0.97 from Petrolul Ploiesti. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Botosani (green) and Petrolul Ploiesti (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FC Botosani	LWLDW	1.50	1.10	40%	40%
Petrolul Ploiesti	DLLWW	1.40	1.40	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

10 May 2026 · FC Botosani 1–1 Petrolul Ploiesti

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	68%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	55%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.