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Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Augsburg host Bayern München in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München.
Going into the match, FC Augsburg had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 35 and conceding 19. Bayern München had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 34 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Augsburg's last 10 and 7 of Bayern München's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Augsburg averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bayern München averaged 2.58 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.23 goals from FC Augsburg and 2.58 from Bayern München. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 46%, against 8%, 11% and 81% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Augsburg (green) and Bayern München (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | DLDWW | 3.50 | 1.90 | 60% | 90% |
| Bayern München | WWWDW | 3.40 | 0.80 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Bayern München HT & FT | 64% | 1.50 |
| Bayern München 1st Half Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.