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Regionalliga - SudWest · Germany
FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Astoria Walldorf host FSV Mainz 05 II in the Regionalliga - SudWest (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Astoria Walldorf 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 II.
Going into the match, FC Astoria Walldorf had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. FSV Mainz 05 II had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of FC Astoria Walldorf's last 10 and 7 of FSV Mainz 05 II's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Astoria Walldorf averaged 1.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FSV Mainz 05 II averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from FC Astoria Walldorf and 1.13 from FSV Mainz 05 II. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Astoria Walldorf (green) and FSV Mainz 05 II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astoria Walldorf | WLLLW | 1.50 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | LWLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| FC Astoria Walldorf Win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.23 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.