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Schweizer Cup · Switzerland
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Aarau host FC Zurich in the Schweizer Cup (Switzerland) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Aarau 2–0 FC Zurich.
Going into the match, FC Aarau had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. FC Zurich had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of FC Aarau's last 10 and 9 of FC Zurich's last 10; 10 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Aarau averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Zurich averaged 1.70 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from FC Aarau and 2.92 from FC Zurich. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 75%, against 23%, 26% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Aarau (green) and FC Zurich (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| FC Zurich Win | 51% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Schweizer Cup matches that day
- FC Schaffhausen vs FC Thun · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Schweizer Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals · FT 1–1 - Winkeln St. Gallen vs Lausanne · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Schweizer Cup
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals · FT 0–7 - Pully Football vs FC Lugano · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Schweizer Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–4