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Friendlies Clubs · International
FC Aarau vs BSC Young Boys prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Aarau host BSC Young Boys in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BSC Young Boys Win — BSC Young Boys to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Aarau 1–2 BSC Young Boys.
Going into the match, FC Aarau had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. BSC Young Boys had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 35 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of FC Aarau's last 10 and 8 of BSC Young Boys's last 10; 9 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Aarau averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home BSC Young Boys averaged 3.30 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from FC Aarau and 2.84 from BSC Young Boys. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 72%, against 16%, 16% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Aarau (green) and BSC Young Boys (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Aarau | LLDWD | 1.70 | 1.90 | 100% | 90% |
| BSC Young Boys | WDDWD | 3.50 | 1.80 | 80% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.24 |
| BSC Young Boys Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| BSC Young Boys 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BSC Young Boys HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.