FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.40Market probability 68%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC 08 Homburg host Freiburg II in the Regionalliga - SudWest (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FC 08 Homburg 2–1 Freiburg II.

Going into the match, FC 08 Homburg had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Freiburg II had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of FC 08 Homburg's last 10 and 7 of Freiburg II's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC 08 Homburg averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Freiburg II averaged 2.10 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from FC 08 Homburg and 1.48 from Freiburg II. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 46%, 24% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC 08 Homburg (green) and Freiburg II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence46% – 54%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals48% – 52%

Overall strength43% – 57%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FC 08 Homburg	DDLDW	1.30	1.40	70%	60%
Freiburg II	LWWLD	1.90	1.30	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS Yes	68%	1.40
Double Chance 1X	68%	1.40
BTTS 1st Half - No	68%	1.34
FC 08 Homburg Win	44%	1.99
FC 08 Homburg HT & FT	32%	2.93
1-1	12%	7.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.