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Regionalliga - SudWest · Germany
FC 08 Homburg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC 08 Homburg host Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. in the Regionalliga - SudWest (Germany) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC 08 Homburg Win — FC 08 Homburg to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC 08 Homburg 1–1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn..
Going into the match, FC 08 Homburg had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC 08 Homburg's last 10 and 7 of Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.'s last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC 08 Homburg averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. averaged 1.58 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from FC 08 Homburg and 1.26 from Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 63%, 20% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC 08 Homburg (green) and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 08 Homburg | LDWWD | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | LLLLL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · FC 08 Homburg 1–1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| FC 08 Homburg Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.76 |
| FC 08 Homburg HT & FT | 49% | 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.01 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.