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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FBK Karlstad host AFC Eskilstuna in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FBK Karlstad 2–2 AFC Eskilstuna.
Going into the match, FBK Karlstad had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. AFC Eskilstuna had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FBK Karlstad's last 10 and 6 of AFC Eskilstuna's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FBK Karlstad averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home AFC Eskilstuna averaged 2.85 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from FBK Karlstad and 1.78 from AFC Eskilstuna. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 36%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FBK Karlstad (green) and AFC Eskilstuna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBK Karlstad | WDDWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| AFC Eskilstuna | WLWWW | 2.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · AFC Eskilstuna 0–2 FBK Karlstad
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.