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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Portugal
Fátima vs Nazarenos prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fátima host Nazarenos in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Fátima Win — Fátima to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fátima 1–3 Nazarenos.
Going into the match, Fátima had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Nazarenos had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, with 1 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fátima's last 8 and 1 of Nazarenos's last 5; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fátima averaged 3.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Nazarenos averaged 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 56% for Fátima, 26% for the draw and 18% for Nazarenos once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fátima (green) and Nazarenos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Fátima Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Fátima HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.