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1. Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Atatürk Olympic Stadium, Istanbul
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fatih Karagümrük host Pendikspor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Fatih Karagümrük had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Pendikspor had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Fatih Karagümrük's last 10 and 7 of Pendikspor's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fatih Karagümrük averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Pendikspor averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Fatih Karagümrük and 0.95 from Pendikspor. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 21%, against 51%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fatih Karagümrük (green) and Pendikspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | DWLLD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 20% |
| Pendikspor | DLLLD | 1.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Fatih Karagümrük Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Lig matches that day
- Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor · 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Manisa F.K. +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.22 - Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20 - Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer · 31 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30