Home › League stats › 1. Lig › Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor
1. Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fatih Karagümrük host Muğlaspor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Muğlaspor.
Going into the match, Fatih Karagümrük had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Muğlaspor had won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Fatih Karagümrük's last 10 and 4 of Muğlaspor's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fatih Karagümrük averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Muğlaspor averaged 1.43 scored and 0.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Fatih Karagümrük and 0.93 from Muğlaspor. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fatih Karagümrük (green) and Muğlaspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | WDLDD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
| Muğlaspor | DDDWW | 0.90 | 0.80 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Fatih Karagümrük Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.