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Primera Division · El Salvador
FAS vs Alianza prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FAS host Alianza in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 9 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FAS Win — FAS to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FAS 2–1 Alianza.
Going into the match, FAS had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Alianza had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FAS's last 10 and 7 of Alianza's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FAS averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Alianza averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from FAS and 0.89 from Alianza. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FAS (green) and Alianza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Alianza 0–2 FAS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| FAS Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| FAS HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.