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National League - South · England
Farnham Town vs Truro City prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Farnham Town host Truro City in the National League - South (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Farnham Town 2–2 Truro City.
Going into the match, Farnham Town had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Truro City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Farnham Town's last 10 and 5 of Truro City's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Farnham Town averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Truro City averaged 1.00 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Farnham Town and 1.54 from Truro City. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 53%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Farnham Town (green) and Truro City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | WLDWD | 1.70 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
| Truro City | WWWDL | 2.00 | 0.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.