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National League - South · England
Farnham Town vs Salisbury prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Farnham Town host Salisbury in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Farnham Town 1–2 Salisbury.
Going into the match, Farnham Town had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Salisbury had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Farnham Town's last 10 and 6 of Salisbury's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Farnham Town averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Salisbury averaged 1.70 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Farnham Town and 2.15 from Salisbury. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 64%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | DWLDW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
| Salisbury | WWWWD | 2.20 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.