Farense vs Feirense prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Farense host Feirense in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Farense 2–1 Feirense.

Going into the match, Farense had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Feirense had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Farense's last 10 and 3 of Feirense's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Farense averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Feirense averaged 0.75 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Farense and 0.42 from Feirense. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 8%, against 54%, 27% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Farense (green) and Feirense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Farense form and statistics
• Feirense form and statistics
• Segunda Liga statistics