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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Farense U23 vs União Leiria U23 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Farense U23 host União Leiria U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Farense U23 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Farense U23 1–2 União Leiria U23.
Going into the match, Farense U23 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. União Leiria U23 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Farense U23's last 10 and 5 of União Leiria U23's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Farense U23 averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home União Leiria U23 averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Farense U23 and 1.13 from União Leiria U23. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 31%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Farense U23 (green) and União Leiria U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense U23 | LDLWW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 80% | 50% |
| União Leiria U23 | DLLLW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Farense U23 Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Farense U23 HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.