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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Famalicão U23 vs Estrela U23 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Famalicão U23 host Estrela U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Famalicão U23 Win — Famalicão U23 to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Famalicão U23 2–1 Estrela U23.
Going into the match, Famalicão U23 had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 25. Estrela U23 had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Famalicão U23's last 10 and 3 of Estrela U23's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Famalicão U23 averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Estrela U23 averaged 0.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Famalicão U23 and 1.24 from Estrela U23. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Famalicão U23 (green) and Estrela U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicão U23 | WLLLW | 1.60 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
| Estrela U23 | LDWLD | 0.60 | 1.60 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Famalicão U23 Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
| Famalicão U23 HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.