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Division 2 - Norra Svealand · Sweden

Falu BS vs Gute prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.45Market probability 63%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Falu BS host Gute in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Falu BS 3–0 Gute.

Going into the match, Falu BS had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Gute had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Falu BS's last 10 and 6 of Gute's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Falu BS averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Gute averaged 1.08 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Falu BS and 1.23 from Gute. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 52%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Falu BS (green) and Gute (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence41% – 59%
Head-to-head93% – 7%
Goals92% – 8%
Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Falu BSLLLDW1.701.7080%80%
GuteLWLWL2.101.3060%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X76%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals76%1.21
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.29
Under 3.5 Goals63%1.45
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes57%1.60
Over 2.5 Goals56%1.62
Falu BS Win52%1.77

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match