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Premiership · Scotland
Falkirk vs Dundee prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Falkirk host Dundee in the Premiership (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Falkirk 1–2 Dundee.
Going into the match, Falkirk had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Dundee had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Falkirk's last 10 and 5 of Dundee's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Falkirk averaged 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dundee averaged 1.25 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Falkirk and 1.30 from Dundee. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 37%, against 48%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Falkirk (green) and Dundee (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.