Fakel vs Lokomotiv prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fakel host Lokomotiv in the Premier League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Fakel 0–5 Lokomotiv.

Going into the match, Fakel had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Lokomotiv had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Fakel's last 10 and 4 of Lokomotiv's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fakel averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lokomotiv averaged 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Fakel and 1.20 from Lokomotiv. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 42%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fakel (green) and Lokomotiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Fakel form and statistics
• Lokomotiv form and statistics
• Premier League statistics