Home › League stats › Friendlies Clubs › Fakel vs FC Vitebsk
Friendlies Clubs · International
Fakel vs FC Vitebsk prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fakel host FC Vitebsk in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fakel 1–0 FC Vitebsk.
Going into the match, Fakel had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12. FC Vitebsk had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fakel's last 10 and 3 of FC Vitebsk's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fakel averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Vitebsk averaged 1.00 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Fakel and 1.13 from FC Vitebsk. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 35%, against 56%, 23% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fakel (green) and FC Vitebsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | LDLDL | 0.50 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
| FC Vitebsk | WDLWW | 1.50 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| Fakel Win | 56% | 1.66 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.