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Youth Championship · Russia
Fakel U19 vs Rostov U19 prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fakel U19 host Rostov U19 in the Youth Championship (Russia) on 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fakel U19 2–0 Rostov U19.
Going into the match, Fakel U19 had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 21. Rostov U19 had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Fakel U19's last 10 and 6 of Rostov U19's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fakel U19 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Rostov U19 averaged 1.18 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Fakel U19 and 1.08 from Rostov U19. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 36%, against 23%, 24% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fakel U19 (green) and Rostov U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel U19 | LWLLL | 0.80 | 2.10 | 60% | 50% |
| Rostov U19 | DLLLD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jun 2026 · Rostov U19 2–1 Fakel U19
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.32 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 67% | 1.38 |
| Rostov U19 Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Rostov U19 HT & FT | 37% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.