Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.48Market probability 62%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fajr Sepasi host Paykan in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 19 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Fajr Sepasi 2–0 Paykan.

Going into the match, Fajr Sepasi had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Paykan had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 6 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Fajr Sepasi's last 8 and 2 of Paykan's last 8; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fajr Sepasi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Paykan averaged 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Fajr Sepasi and 0.76 from Paykan. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 25%, against 36%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fajr Sepasi (green) and Paykan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack57% – 43%

Defence25% – 75%

Head-to-head36% – 64%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Fajr Sepasi	WLLDD	0.75	1.25	50%	25%
Paykan	DLWLD	0.75	0.88	25%	13%

Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	72%	1.26
Double Chance 12	71%	1.26
Over 1.5 Goals	65%	1.41
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.41
Under 2.5 Goals	62%	1.48
BTTS No	55%	1.67
Fajr Sepasi Win	36%	2.44
Under 1.5 Goals	35%	2.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.