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Regionalliga - Ost · Austria
Fach-Donaufeld vs Donau prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fach-Donaufeld host Donau in the Regionalliga - Ost (Austria) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau.
Going into the match, Fach-Donaufeld had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Donau had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Fach-Donaufeld's last 10 and 7 of Donau's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fach-Donaufeld averaged 1.54 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Donau averaged 1.54 scored and 2.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Fach-Donaufeld and 1.40 from Donau. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 28%, against 55%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fach-Donaufeld (green) and Donau (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fach-Donaufeld | LWWDL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 20% | 40% |
| Donau | DDLDW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| Fach-Donaufeld Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Fach-Donaufeld HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Regionalliga - Ost matches that day
- Wiener Viktoria vs Parndorf · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Ost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 · FT 1–0 - Wienerberg vs Leobendorf · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Ost
Published pick: Leobendorf Win