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1 Lyga · Lithuania
FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FA Šiauliai II host Kauno Žalgiris II in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FA Šiauliai II 3–3 Kauno Žalgiris II.
Going into the match, FA Šiauliai II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Kauno Žalgiris II had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FA Šiauliai II's last 10 and 6 of Kauno Žalgiris II's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FA Šiauliai II averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Kauno Žalgiris II averaged 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from FA Šiauliai II and 1.63 from Kauno Žalgiris II. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 35%, against 45%, 24% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FA Šiauliai II (green) and Kauno Žalgiris II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Šiauliai II | WLLLW | 1.40 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
| Kauno Žalgiris II | LWWLW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Kauno Žalgiris II 2–0 FA Šiauliai II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| FA Šiauliai II Win | 43% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.