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Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Excelsior Virton host Sporting Hasselt in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Excelsior Virton 3–4 Sporting Hasselt.
Going into the match, Excelsior Virton had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Sporting Hasselt had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Excelsior Virton's last 10 and 4 of Sporting Hasselt's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Excelsior Virton averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sporting Hasselt averaged 2.75 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Excelsior Virton and 1.35 from Sporting Hasselt. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 36%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Excelsior Virton (green) and Sporting Hasselt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | WDWLW | 1.60 | 0.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Sporting Hasselt | WLWLL | 1.60 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.