Home › League stats › Derde Divisie › EVV vs Noordwijk
Derde Divisie · Netherlands
EVV vs Noordwijk prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
EVV host Noordwijk in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: EVV 0–2 Noordwijk.
Going into the match, EVV had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 29. Noordwijk had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of EVV's last 10 and 2 of Noordwijk's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home EVV averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Noordwijk averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from EVV and 2.60 from Noordwijk. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 80%, against 22%, 21% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between EVV (green) and Noordwijk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Noordwijk Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.69 |
| Noordwijk HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.