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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Evesham United vs Bath City prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Evesham United host Bath City in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Evesham United 0–2 Bath City.
Going into the match, Evesham United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Bath City had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Evesham United's last 10 and 5 of Bath City's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Evesham United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bath City averaged 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Evesham United and 1.21 from Bath City. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 40%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Evesham United (green) and Bath City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | LLWWL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Bath City | LWWWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Bath City Win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Bath City HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.