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WSL Cup · England
Everton W vs Newcastle United W prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Everton W host Newcastle United W in the WSL Cup (England) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Everton W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Newcastle United W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 16 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Everton W's last 10 and 3 of Newcastle United W's last 8; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Everton W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Newcastle United W averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Everton W and 1.14 from Newcastle United W. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%, against 54%, 23% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Everton W (green) and Newcastle United W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton W | LWLWW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Newcastle United W | WLWWW | 2.00 | 0.88 | 38% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Everton W Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Everton W HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.