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Premier League · England
Everton vs Coventry prediction and preview
6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Everton host Coventry in the Premier League (England) on 6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Everton had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Coventry had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Everton's last 10 and 5 of Coventry's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Everton averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Coventry averaged 1.43 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Everton and 0.88 from Coventry. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 20%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Everton (green) and Coventry (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Everton Win | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.