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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Europa Fc vs Zaragoza prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Europa Fc host Zaragoza in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Zaragoza Win — Zaragoza to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Europa Fc had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Zaragoza had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Europa Fc's last 10 and 5 of Zaragoza's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Europa Fc averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Zaragoza averaged 1.33 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Europa Fc and 1.42 from Zaragoza. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 43%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Europa Fc (green) and Zaragoza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Zaragoza Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.