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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Europa Fc vs Algeciras prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Europa Fc host Algeciras in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Europa Fc 2–1 Algeciras.
Going into the match, Europa Fc had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 17. Algeciras had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Europa Fc's last 10 and 7 of Algeciras's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Europa Fc averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Algeciras averaged 1.29 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Europa Fc and 1.26 from Algeciras. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Europa Fc (green) and Algeciras (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Europa Fc Win | 36% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.