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Oberliga - Hamburg · Germany
ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ETSV Hamburg host Niendorfer TSV in the Oberliga - Hamburg (Germany) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — ETSV Hamburg to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ETSV Hamburg 4–6 Niendorfer TSV.
Going into the match, ETSV Hamburg had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 17. Niendorfer TSV had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of ETSV Hamburg's last 10 and 5 of Niendorfer TSV's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ETSV Hamburg averaged 3.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Niendorfer TSV averaged 2.45 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from ETSV Hamburg and 2.61 from Niendorfer TSV. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 45%, against 49%, 21% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ETSV Hamburg (green) and Niendorfer TSV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSV Hamburg | WWLLL | 2.80 | 1.70 | 90% | 90% |
| Niendorfer TSV | LDLWW | 1.70 | 2.10 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · ETSV Hamburg 2–1 Niendorfer TSV
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 61% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| ETSV Hamburg Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| 0-0 | 11% | 8.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.