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Challenge League · Switzerland
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Étoile Carouge host Yverdon Sport in the Challenge League (Switzerland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Étoile Carouge 0–2 Yverdon Sport.
Going into the match, Étoile Carouge had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Yverdon Sport had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Étoile Carouge's last 10 and 6 of Yverdon Sport's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Étoile Carouge averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Yverdon Sport averaged 1.92 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Étoile Carouge and 1.67 from Yverdon Sport. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 31%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Étoile Carouge (green) and Yverdon Sport (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | LLDLW | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Yverdon Sport | WDLWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Jul 2026 · Yverdon Sport 1–1 Étoile Carouge
- 3 May 2026 · Yverdon Sport 3–5 Étoile Carouge
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Yverdon Sport Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.