Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.33Market probability 72%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Etar Veliko Tarnovo host Spartak Varna in the Cup (Bulgaria) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Spartak Varna to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2–4 Spartak Varna.

Going into the match, Etar Veliko Tarnovo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Spartak Varna had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Etar Veliko Tarnovo's last 10 and 3 of Spartak Varna's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Etar Veliko Tarnovo averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Spartak Varna averaged 0.90 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 2.82 from Spartak Varna. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 67%, against 28%, 26% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Etar Veliko Tarnovo (green) and Spartak Varna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack100% – 0%

Defence0% – 100%

Head-to-head36% – 64%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength37% – 63%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	WWLLW	1.50	1.90	70%	60%
Spartak Varna	WLDDD	0.90	1.30	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	72%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.34
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.36
Under 9.5 Corners	56%	1.64
Under 2.5 Goals	54%	1.57
BTTS Yes	53%	1.76
Over 2.5 Goals	46%	2.35
Spartak Varna Win	45%	1.95

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.